Tropical Update
The tropics are a little more active this week, with four areas to watch, but none of these areas to watch are threatening the Carolinas.
Tropical Storm Jerry formed this weekend over the open waters of the North Atlantic. It has already been downgraded to a depression, is quickly weakening and moving away from the United States.
In the Gulf of Mexico there is plenty of moisture that has been streaming northward into Louisiana. There is also an area of low pressure in the middle of the Gulf that bears watching. Today, wind shear prevented this from getting organized, but the wind shear is forecast to weaken, and this may become a tropical depression on Tuesday. If it does develop, it appear to be heading westward to northern Mexico or Deep South Texas.
A tropical wave over the Caribbean Islands is getting better organized, and is close to being a depression. This could even become a tropical storm over the next couple of days, but will be moving northwest toward the big islands in the Caribbean, and if it gets too close to Hispanola, it will weaken. Also wind shear is expected to increase by Thursday, so that will tend to weaken it as well.
The tropical wave over the central Atlantic is very large, and has just become tropical depression number 12. This wave is pretty far south, and that has keeping any organization slow so far, but there is potential that this could continue to strengthen into a tropical storm or even a hurricane. This storm is at least a week away from the Caribbean if it makes it... computer models forecast this to curve out to sea before the Lesser Antilles.
Posted by
on 09/24 at 08:32 PM
